The stealth tax hike
xmacro
Posts: 3,402 ✭
Good article from the WSJ:
Anyone still need a reason to abandon "grand bargains" and deals negotiated between this President and GOP Congressional leaders? Here it is: The revival of two dormant provisions of the tax code means the much ballyhooed $450,000 income threshold for the highest tax rate is largely fake.
The two provisions are the infamous PEP and Pease, which aficionados of stealth tax increases will recognize immediately as relics of the 1990 tax increase. Those measures, which limit deductions and exemptions for higher-income taxpayers, expired in 2010. The Obama tax bill revived them this week. It isn't going to be pretty.
Under the new law, some of the steepest tax increases may fall on upper-middle class earners with incomes just above $250,000. Here's why:
During the negotiations, the White House won a concession from Republicans to allow phaseouts for personal exemptions and limitations on itemized deductions, starting at an income of $250,000 for individuals and $300,000 for joint filers.
The Senate Finance Committee informs us that in effect the loss of the personal exemptions, currently $3,800 per family member, can mean a 4.4 percentage point rise in the marginal tax rate for a married couple with two kids and incomes above $250,000. A family with four kids in that income range faces about a six percentage point marginal rate hike. The restored limitations on itemized deductions can raise the tax rate by another one percentage point.
High-income Americans with incomes of more than $1 million may lose up to 80% of their itemized deductions for home mortgage payments, health care, state and local taxesand charities. Cue the local symphony's development office.
Add it together and families in the 33% tax bracket could see their effective marginal rate paid on each additional dollar earned rise to above 38%.
A store manager married to a dentist with a combined income of, say, $350,000 may pay a higher tax rate under the new law than if the tax code had simply reverted back to the Clinton-era rates that Mr. Obama championed. Those earning more than $450,000 would see their de facto tax rate rise to about 41% under the new law, not 39.6%. Add in the new ObamaCare investment taxes and the tax rate on interest income is close to 45%.
How did this happen? Recall that early in the fiscal-cliff negotiations House Speaker John Boehner offered to cap itemized deductions to raise $800 billion, in lieu of raising tax rates, if the President would agree to spending cuts. The White House rejected that.
Mr. Obama then insisted on reviving PEP and Pease, thereby recapturing much of the income he claimed to be "compromising" away by agreeing to a higher income threshold for the top bracket. But instead of using phaseouts to offset higher rates as Mitt Romney proposed, Mr. Obama insisted on raising tax rates too.
Democrats are advertising the higher $400,000-$450,000 threshold as a victory for affluent taxpayers in blue states. But with PEP and Pease these Democrats are hammering their own constituents via the backdoor.
Taxpayers in blue states claim roughly twice as much in itemized deductions as those in red states. Income tax rates are steeper in California and New York than Texas and Utah. Chuck Schumer just put a tax bull's-eye on upper-income Manhattanites, and Barbara Boxer whacked Silicon Valley. Some $150 billion, about one-quarter of all the money raised by this tax bill, will come from this stealth tax hike.
Mr. Obama purports this is merely "a return to the Clinton-era tax rates." But capital-gains rates will be about three to five percentage points higher than in the 1990s, the Medicare tax is higher, and his stealth tax will raise personal rates higher than advertised. Forget the golden Clinton memories. Mr. Obama is pushing the U.S. back to the Carter era.
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Comments
Sounds right.
We must first stop the hemmorhaging if we are to recover. Problem is, no one wants to take the hit. Too many power structures depend on the system of welfare that we've created. Corporate welfare, foreign welfare, medical welfare, societal welfare.
We all know there's no such thing as a free lunch, but we sure hope someone else is paying.
How does this end, other than collapse? Seriously, how? All the elected officials seem to be able to do is keep doing the same thing, and expecting new results. Very frustrating.
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"If you do not read the newspapers you're uninformed. If you do read the newspapers, you're misinformed." -- Mark Twain
Also, welcome back Macro...my nemesis;)
"If you do not read the newspapers you're uninformed. If you do read the newspapers, you're misinformed." -- Mark Twain
Cliff notes:
- Top 10% of taxpyers pay 70% of all taxes
- Top 25% of taxpayers pay 87% of all taxes
- Top 50% of taxpayers pay 98% of all taxes
- Bottom 50% of taxpayers pay 2% of all taxes
The problem isn't that we're not taxing the rich enough; the problem is that there's nowhere near enough money at the top to pay for everything. If you look at the actual numbers, you realize that the middle class, those at and below $100,000, is where the real money is, and where taxes need to go if you want to close the deficit via revenues.
Other than that, sounds like you're on the right track.
"If you do not read the newspapers you're uninformed. If you do read the newspapers, you're misinformed." -- Mark Twain
That said, I don't believe that the working poor-should be totally exempt from paying taxes of any kind. My teenage son, for example, works part-time in food service as he save for college. He wouldn't be making enough money to be taxed at all using the standard tax rates, but I've changed his deductions to have fed and state income taxes deducted with every check just so he begins to get used to the idea. He will get all of this back in a refund, but I honestly think that he shouldn't get it all back--maybe 5%-8% of it should be kept by the government to help him benefit from the student loans he will need to take out, and the probable unemployment he will be receiving several times during his career, given today's job market. I'm also in favor of the recent termination of Obama's 2% payroll tax cut. It was meant to be a temporary measure to stimulate the economy, and, like all such tax cuts, had no stimulus effect whatsoever.
Agree with you here. Like I said above, there isn't enough money at the top to pay for everything, and there's a serious problem when half the country has little skin in the tax game (2%, as of 2009) - it's too easy to say you want more Gov't spending when you don't pay taxes into the system. If the base of taxpayers was broadened, so that everyone paid taxes, even if it was just a little bit, 5-10%, the Gov't would raise enormous amounts of money immediately, because most of this country makes below $100,000 (IIRC, the average salary is around $40 or $50,000).
The math is pretty straightforward: the real money's with the middle class. If revenue is to be the only source of paying for the deficits, it's unavoidable that DC would have to go after them, because there isn't enough money at the top.
I agree with the payroll tax holiday too; it was always supposed to be temporary, a holiday that had to end, though I'd much prefer to have seen it traded away in exchange for a better tax system than simply dropped, but such is the logic of DC
Also, the money owned by the rich has already had taxes paid on it - at the highest income tax bracket to boot. So to say that the top 10% owns 90% of the wealth misses the point that what they own has already been taxed, at least once, most likely twice (once by the company at the corporate tax level when it's earned, again at the personal income tax level when it's payed out as salary)
Second, there's the opportunity cost - when a business earns money, they can do one of two things with it - either pay it out as salary/dividends, or plow it back into the company to help it grow, via buying machinery, or hiring more people. It doesn't just sit in a bank - any money that isn't growing or working for you is being wasted; the power of compound interest demands that any spare money be put to work to earn more money. When a company pays money out in X amount of taxes, that's X amount of dollars that can't be reinvested in the company or paid out as salary; it goes to the Gov't for whatever they spend it on
Finally, if you say that the top 10% own 90% of the money, I'd agree with a caveat - the amount of money in the system isn't static, it's dynamic - it's being increased every day, every week, every month and every year. The money that's printed doesn't simply go into someone's bank account, it moves throughout the entire economy.
If they're paid by a paycheck, it's taken out automatically; but most likely, the people you're referring to are paid either in cash or under the table, in which case it's almost impossible to track them.
In 1950, my Dad was paying 1.5% and the employer another 1.5%, for a total of three percent, paid on the first $3,000 he earned, to fund OASDI, and it was in good shape.
By 1960, just ten years down the road, I was paying 3% all by myself, and my employer was paying another 3%, for a total of 6%, but we were paying on the first $4,800 I earned.
By 1970, the total was 8.4% on the first $7,800
Ten years down the road again, by 1980, we paid 10.16% on the first $25,900
Ten years, 1990, 12.4% on $51,300
2000, 12.4% on $76,200
2010, 12.4% on the first $106,800. Yet they're broke.
So...
There it is. The history of this thing is plain. Anyone who proposes that raising either the tax rate or the taxable wage base is the answer must still have faith in the tooth fairy, Notre Dame, and change you can believe in.
The more you give these retards the more they squander.
http://www.taxpolicycenter.org/taxfacts/content/pdf/ssrate_historical.pdf
When it was created, there were 16 people paying into it for every 1 person taking out; the average life expectancy was 61. The Gov't expected the average person to die 4 years before they ever collected a single check, and anyone who lived long enough to take out wasn't expected to live very long afterwards anyway - one of the main reasons a SS "lock box" was never created and SS taxes just went into the general slush fund for Congressional spending. No need to save money that was in all likelihood never going to be spent
Fast forward to the current day - there are 2 people paying into SS for every 1 person taking out, and the average life expectancy is around 79. If Social Security was created today based on the age standards they used in 1935, that is, a few years beyond the average life expectancy, we tack on four years (avg life expectancy in 1934 = 61 + 4 yrs = 65), then you get 83 - an age which the average person won't see, and if they do, likely won't live very long afterwards - in which case SS would be financially solvent
Anyway, I've been here long enough and said my piece. Anyone reading can make of things what they will. Later.
"If you do not read the newspapers you're uninformed. If you do read the newspapers, you're misinformed." -- Mark Twain
So, I take it you like the stealth tax plan. LOL