GEOPOLITICS (educational purposes only)

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  • silvermouse
    silvermouse Posts: 25,160 ✭✭✭✭✭

    The Great Unraveling Has Begun
    By Oona A. Hathaway

    Professor Hathaway teaches law and political science at Yale and is a nonresident scholar at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace and the president-elect of the American Society of International Law.

    https://www.nytimes.com/2026/01/06/opinion/peace-conflict-war.html?unlocked_article_code=1.C1A._1u2.r6DPQ57rTJQ8&smid=url-share&utm_source=sfmc&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=WBURToday_Editorial_010826&utm_term=The+New+York+Times&utm_id=172459&sfmc_id=26281597

  • memento_mori
    memento_mori Posts: 6,197 ✭✭✭✭✭

    @silvermouse interesting article. Aside from Democrats (and Republicans), not too long ago, demanding Maduro be removed from power. The common denominator of this article and those similar, the most powerful governments of the most powerful countries WILL find ways to absorb those that aren’t. It’s the people, those that have no say, are the recipients of the pain and suffering imposed upon them by their governments.

  • silvermouse
    silvermouse Posts: 25,160 ✭✭✭✭✭

    And the people foot the bill. Defense stocks jumped higher though.

    "After the long and difficult negotiations with Senators, Congressmen, Secretaries, and other Political Representatives, I have determined that, for the Good of our Country, especially in these very troubled and dangerous times, our Military Budget for the year 2027 should not be $1 Trillion Dollars, rather $1.5 Trillion Dollars," he wrote in a TruthSocial post late Wednesday.

    "This will allow us to build the "Dream Military" that we have long been entitled to, and, more importantly, that will keep us SAFE and SECURE, regardless of foe."

  • memento_mori
    memento_mori Posts: 6,197 ✭✭✭✭✭

    @silvermouse said:
    And the people foot the bill. Defense stocks jumped higher though.

    "After the long and difficult negotiations with Senators, Congressmen, Secretaries, and other Political Representatives, I have determined that, for the Good of our Country, especially in these very troubled and dangerous times, our Military Budget for the year 2027 should not be $1 Trillion Dollars, rather $1.5 Trillion Dollars," he wrote in a TruthSocial post late Wednesday.

    "This will allow us to build the "Dream Military" that we have long been entitled to, and, more importantly, that will keep us SAFE and SECURE, regardless of foe."

    Is that a lot of money 🤪😂😜. I’m sure he’ll get it too. Not sure what a dream military means or what it looks like.

  • Vision
    Vision Posts: 10,631 ✭✭✭✭✭

    Oh boy…..

  • memento_mori
    memento_mori Posts: 6,197 ✭✭✭✭✭

    Interesting read Edward. No matter my conflicting opinions, beliefs and views about this “war”: The fact remains global economic upheaval, amassing geography and resources contained within, establishing new alliances, building new trade relationships and many other things that could be listed…in a manner contrary to traditional, expected, political recourse. Trumpy doesn’t do traditional politics. I think everyone is obvious to this point. He’s pure business…good and bad…and whatever else anyone cares to add. The bottom line is, no mater what, again I say whether I agree or disagree, this dude is going to what he wants, no matter what the short term or long term costs are, in the name of making America top of the food chain. Ultimately, time will show us the answers if the methods were worth the madness. I think that’s every administration in our political system, unfortunately.

  • silvermouse
    silvermouse Posts: 25,160 ✭✭✭✭✭

    I wonder what the dénouement of the Trump saga will be and who will pay or play.

  • memento_mori
    memento_mori Posts: 6,197 ✭✭✭✭✭

    @silvermouse said:
    I wonder what the dénouement of the Trump saga will be and who will pay or play.

    That will be interesting to say the least.

  • silvermouse
    silvermouse Posts: 25,160 ✭✭✭✭✭

    https://globalaffairs.org/commentary/analysis/will-china-dominate-future

    The question this essay attempts to answer—will China dominate the future?—may be the most important question in world politics today. The honest answer is that we do not yet know. But the outlines of the competition are becoming clearer, and they are worth examining carefully.

  • dirtdude
    dirtdude Posts: 6,726 ✭✭✭✭✭

    I would be surprised if the trump/xi meeting didn't involve a lot of discussion of releasing Iranian oil. Keep in mind the uae processes many times the amount of Iranian oil than china receives directly from iran

    A little dirt never hurt
  • memento_mori
    memento_mori Posts: 6,197 ✭✭✭✭✭

    @silvermouse said:

    https://globalaffairs.org/commentary/analysis/will-china-dominate-future

    The question this essay attempts to answer—will China dominate the future?—may be the most important question in world politics today. The honest answer is that we do not yet know. But the outlines of the competition are becoming clearer, and they are worth examining carefully.

    China over the next 10-15 years will have to deal with an underwhelming workforce that will not keep pace with their economic growth.

  • silvermouse
    silvermouse Posts: 25,160 ✭✭✭✭✭

    Here's who are instrumental in helping the president shape our foreign policy. Follow the money as they say.

    A group of billionaires—worth a combined $1.07 trillion, according to our estimates—joined President Donald Trump on his trip to China this week to meet Chinese President Xi Jinping, their first summit of Trump’s second term, which comes amid tensions over trade, the war in Iran and the future of artificial intelligence.

    https://www.forbes.com/sites/saradorn/2026/05/13/6-billionaires-worth-a-combined-1-trillion-join-trump-on-his-china-trip/

  • silvermouse
    silvermouse Posts: 25,160 ✭✭✭✭✭
    edited May 16

    US planning to criminally indict ex-Cuban leader Raúl Castro

    "A CIA official told the BBC's US partner CBS that Washington was prepared to engage on economic and security issues, "but only if Cuba makes fundamental changes".

    A Cuban statement said the meeting was an attempt to improve dialogue and that Havana was not a threat to US national security.

    It came after American officials renewed an offer of $100m (£74m) of aid to ease the effects of its oil blockade.

    Washington has focused more on Cuba in recent months after the US indicted Venezuelan leader Nicolás Maduro in January then removed him from power in an overnight operation.

    Analysts say any similar attempt by US special forces to arrest Castro could meet stiff opposition in Cuba, particularly among government loyalists.

    How destabilising Cuba could backfire disastrously on US
    William LeoGrande, professor of Latin American politics at the American University in Washington, told the BBC the potential indictment was "one more element of the pressure campaign" that Trump has kept up since returning to office last year.

    But further destabilising the island could backfire on the US, said LeoGrande, who wrote the book Back Channel to Cuba: The Hidden History of Negotiations between Washington and Havana.

    "If the Cuban economy and social order collapses, it would actually be a disaster for the United States, because it's likely to touch off a mass migration crisis," the professor said.

    He said it looks like the US "is sending a warning to Raúl Castro that he should use his influence to get the government to make concessions".

    "Or else the US military may be coming for him, just like it came for President Maduro in Venezuela.""

    more here:
    https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c1w2gnd9xp2o